In South Africa, all eyes are on the ANC’s December 16-20 elective conference. There has never been a time in the life of the ANC post-apartheid where there is such an intense, and all-consuming, contestation for the party’s leadership. The leadership contestation takes shape against the backdrop of an ever gloomier national mood, uncertainty about the country’s fiscal position in the coming year, deep worries about another wave of credit rating downgrades, general economic underperformance and increasing joblessness, and political ruptures in neighbouring Zimbabwe.
South Africa’s public institutions are at their weakest, the architecture of the rule of law is wobbly, key agencies such as the National Treasury are a shadow of their former selves, and critical state-owned enterprises are on the verge of imploding. It is not just the developments within the party that are worrying; the precise condition of the country’s institutions and economy are also deeply disconcerting. In this light the following issues will guide the seminar. What are the possible outcomes from the ANC elective conference? Which candidate holds more winning cards? Who are the key actors and interests behind the candidates? And what policies are the party likely to implement beyond the conference, depending on the candidate that wins?
The seminar was presented by Dr Mzukisi Qobo, Director at Tutwa Consulting Group.
The seminar presentation is available for download here. [PDF, 803kB]